University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Department of Mathematics
Weekly Calendar

Abstract by Prof. Adam T. Martinsek
Sequential Estimation of the Maximum in a Model for Corrosion Data.
One method of monitoring corrosion in an underground storage tank involves placing a sensor in the tank and running it around the tank's interior. As it runs, the sensor records the local thickness of the tank. The parameters of greatest interest are the average wall thickness and the maximum pit depth, where pit depth is the original wall thickness minus the current wall thickness. This talk deals with the problem of estimating the maximum pit depth by providing a confidence interval that achieves both a specified confidence level and a specified degree of precision. A particular model, the three-parameter beta, is considered, and a stopping rule for determining the sample size is proposed. It is shown that the stopping rule achieves the desired confidence level and precision, asymptotically as the precision requirement becomes increasingly stringent. Moreover, the stopping rule is asymptotically efficient in terms of sample size. The limiting distribution of the stopping rule is derived, and simulation results are presented to supplement the asymptotics with finite sample size behavior.
Tuesday - November 4, 1997.
11:00 AM - 2 Illini Hall - PROBABILITY & STATISTICS SEMINAR