University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

MATH 267/GLBL 267. Mathematical Issues in National Security

Spring 2004

Syllabus

There are 30 class periods of 75 minutes length. There will be a reading list and reference list with links to websites. Guest lecturers will be invited.

Week 1 Introduction to Preventive Defense Against Weapons of Mass Destruction

Problems of transporting hazardous materials, infectious disease outbreaks, wildfires, and medical/nuclear/radiological waste disposal are all current day hazards of industrial societies that have to be dealt with routinely by first responders – firefighters, police, bomb squads, emergency medical teams (EMT). Weapons of mass destruction and how they fit into the landscape of responding to hazardous incidents will be discussed.

Week 2 Threat and Risk Assessment

The vulnerabilities of infrastructure and risk assessment will be discussed.

Week 3 A Game Theory approach to preventive defense

Game theory is a tool that can be used to assess strategies in dealing with potential attacks on civilians and military. We will give examples of how game theory can be used to create and assess strategies for preventive defense.

Week 4 State vs. Terrorist attacks

Defending against accidental and unauthorized attacks vs. deliberate attacks. What are the differences and similarities?

Week 5 Nature of chemical/biological agents

References for this part will be current material on the web.

Week 6 Nature of radiological/nuclear agents

References for this part will be current material on the web.

Week 7 Methods of delivery

The mathematics of ballistic and cruise missile flight will be discussed. The discussion will consider times and distances of flight and the possibility of interception. National missile defense for the United States and theater missile defense for forces in theater will be reviewed.

Week 8 Estimates of likelihood of attacks at home and abroad

Estimating the likelihood of attack is of major concern in shaping defense and response strategies. We will attempt to understand how such estimates are made and shape policy.

Spring Break Students prepare talks and papers.

Week 9 First responders and their preparedness

Summary of current preparedness for WMD.

Week 10 Public Health System and Biological Attacks

The public health system's response to infectious disease outbreaks; its role in dealing with a biological incident; and the epidemiological investigation.

Week 11 Probabilistic approaches to threat assessment

Week 12 Mathematics of detection and epidemiology for biological incidents

Week 13 Student presentations

Week 14 Student presentations

Week 15 Student presentations


Math 276 Homepage
Links to Websites
Reference List
Reading List

Last modified September 9, 2003